Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.031321 0.036353 0.041937 0.048595 0.056320 0.065004 0.075513
2025-12-14 0.022618 0.028975 0.036753 0.046975 0.060068 0.076299 0.097982
2025-12-21 0.017545 0.024239 0.033062 0.045555 0.062821 0.085893 0.119156
2025-12-28 0.014888 0.021882 0.031683 0.046440 0.068149 0.099007 0.146386
2026-01-04 0.012771 0.019799 0.030180 0.046657 0.072241 0.110601 0.172786
2026-01-11 0.011118 0.018073 0.028838 0.046749 0.075928 0.121810 0.199887
2026-01-18 0.009920 0.016835 0.028005 0.047405 0.080423 0.134644 0.231091
2026-01-25 0.009040 0.015967 0.027602 0.048630 0.085898 0.149606 0.267678
2026-02-01 0.007851 0.014388 0.025776 0.047128 0.086421 0.156142 0.290383
2026-02-08 0.007027 0.013334 0.024706 0.046781 0.088872 0.166235 0.320664
2026-02-15 0.006307 0.012368 0.023658 0.046306 0.090967 0.175839 0.351156
2026-02-22 0.005837 0.011812 0.023293 0.047060 0.095459 0.190418 0.393108
2026-03-01 0.005260 0.010980 0.022316 0.046525 0.097421 0.200496 0.427782
2026-03-08 0.004676 0.010061 0.021052 0.045246 0.097705 0.207253 0.456557
2026-03-15 0.004165 0.009224 0.019852 0.043934 0.097727 0.213433 0.484885
2026-03-22 0.003905 0.008894 0.019673 0.044799 0.102574 0.230481 0.539601
2026-03-29 0.003618 0.008468 0.019230 0.045011 0.105973 0.244739 0.589850
2026-04-05 0.003352 0.008054 0.018762 0.045100 0.109087 0.258713 0.641311
2026-04-12 0.003149 0.007763 0.018538 0.045733 0.113564 0.276391 0.704169
2026-04-19 0.002999 0.007579 0.018543 0.046914 0.119524 0.298342 0.780716
2026-04-26 0.002707 0.007006 0.017541 0.045466 0.118713 0.303577 0.815054
2026-05-03 0.002506 0.006639 0.017003 0.045131 0.120715 0.316122 0.870399
2026-05-10 0.002318 0.006280 0.016446 0.044673 0.122332 0.327870 0.925220